Intuitive*Analysis

Hazard 2: Biological Weapons

Biological weapons, are contagious agents such as germs or microorganisms with the intended use of causing harm to other persons. They are inexpensive, simple to produce and easily concealed.

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ANTHRAX - Skin or Respiratory Attack

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Iraq, Iran, Russia, and as many as 10 nations have the capacity to load spores of B anthracis into weapons
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Iraq, more than Iran, has the high tech equipment and materials for making and successful use as a biological weapon
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In 1995, 17 countries were thought to have biological weapons programs
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Easily transformed into a powder
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Spread by touching or inhaling
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Difficult to impact large populations – no cost/effort/impact efficiency
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Bacteria generates colorless and odorless spores, comparable to plant seeds
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Attack on individuals through mail, packages, etc.
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If you receive an envelope that it believed to be filled with anthrax powder, leave it alone and phone 911
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Warning signs of a suspicious envelope include: typographical errors, return address missing, too much postage, or addressed as "personal"
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There is probability al Queda terrorists could have huge amount of spores accumulated
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Large scale attacks can be released by small engine airplane, released on a sea coast city or large body of water
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220 pounds or 100 kilograms of anthrax spores released over Washington, D.C. during ideal weather conditions, would cause between 130,000 and 3 million persons to die, similar to dropping a hydrogen bomb
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Could endanger vast number of people
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Persons inside as well as those outside would be exposed the identical amount
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No warning signals or sirens to detect anthrax spores being released into the air
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Not contagious -- not spread among individuals
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The majority of spores are far too large for air suspension, or overly tiny to settle in the lungs
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Damage in large scale attack would not be known until the first person was diagnosed
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First phase symptoms begin 1-6 days after touching or inhaling
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Initially symptoms are similar to skin rash or upper respiratory ailment/flu-like symptoms
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Symptoms improve after a few hours or 2-3 days
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Takes approximately 36 to 48 hours for tests to confirm symptoms
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Second phase symptoms begin after short period of improvement from first phase
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Second phase symptoms are elevated temperature, difficulty breathing, sweating, blue skin, and shock, and death in 24-36 hours
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Kids under two months of age have comparable symptoms as adults
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Children under two months in more serious danger and face a possibility of death
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Medical Treatment: Second stage treatment has maximum usefulness
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Antibiotics need to be taken for at least 60 days
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Not all antibiotics will work
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The antibiotic Cipro MUST be taken after being exposed and before symptoms start appearing or ineffective
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Other medications approved for treatment include penicillin, tetracycline, erythromycin, and chloramphenicol
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The susceptibility to a particular strain is a determining factor of what medication should be provided
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Alternative treatment: Homeopathic remedy for anthrax is Anthracinum
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Essential Oils: Frankincense supports respiratory system (medical support only)
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Precaution: Beware of powdery substances in mail. Leave alone and call 911
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Academy Psychic*Surveillance

~ Small Individual Attacks:
   USA Risk Level: High-Confirmed Confidence Level: 100%
~ Large Scale Attack:
   USA Risk Level: Medium-Low Confidence Level: 75%
 
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SMALLPOX, Contagious Disease
    One of most dangerous biological terrors

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Viral disease
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Highly infectious
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Spread from one person to another
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Since 1970's only 2 known locations of virus for research, the United States and Russia
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It is believed that North Korea, as well as Iraq may have worked with smallpox as a biological weapon
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Requires infecting terrorist members first who then spread disease
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50 to 100 reports of smallpox would likely cause a nationwide panic
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Incubation period of 7 to 17 days
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Symptoms begin with a high fever and back pain, accompanied by a skin rash
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More severe than chickenpox
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Young people, the elderly and women who are pregnant face the most danger
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Best treatment is total isolation from those infected
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Vaccination of those persons in close contact might prevent or minimize the severity of the disease
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Virus spreads through infected garments or bedding too
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At this time there are 12 to 15 million doses of smallpox vaccine stockpiled for emergency use and might be multiplied if able to be diluted
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The vaccine gives wonderful protection, and functions to halt the spread of the disease
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Vaccination programs ceased in 1972. Vaccinations effective no longer than 10 years.
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Even if vaccine can be diluted, the supply would not be enough to protect the entire United States population
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Medical Treatment: Vaccination after 2 to 3 days of exposure provides excellent protection and may prevent death which occurs for 30% of those infected within 4 to 5 days of being exposed
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Physicians need to refer to medical textbooks prior to the 1970's to become educated about the disease. Training programs being conducted in USA.
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Alternative treatment: Homeopathic remedy for smallpox is Variolinum
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Essential Oils: Sandalwood nervous system, stress, respiratory system, skin (medical support only)
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Precaution: insure all bedding and clothes of those infected and surfaces are highly disinfected with hypochlorite and quaternary ammonia
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Academy Psychic*Surveillance

~ USA Risk Level: Medium-High Confidence Level: 78%
 
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PLAGUE, Contagious Disease

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Procedures for spraying plague bacteria into the air were manufactured during the Cold War by the United States and Russia.
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Could easily spray plaque bacteria with a crop dusting airplane
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Outbreak subsequent to a biological attack creates a dangerous threat
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Treatment needs to be started within one day of symptoms beginning
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Medical Treatment: Those exposed should begin antibiotic prophylaxis
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Alternative treatment: Homeopathic treatment for plague is Pestinum
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Essential Oils: Frankincense supports respiratory system (medical support only)
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Precaution: None known
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Academy Psychic*Surveillance

~ USA Risk Level: Low Confidence Level: 70%
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© APA&S